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Free tool

MTT variance calculator.

How wild is your bankroll going to be? Plug in your year, see what could actually happen.

Run it

Try it on your year.

Upload a SharkScope CSV (export your tournament history), pick a skill archetype, and watch a few hundred parallel bankroll trajectories unfold in your browser. Nothing leaves your machine.

Free, with sign-up

Sign in to run the simulator

The math runs entirely in your browser — your CSV never leaves your machine. The Keycloak sign-up just tells us who showed up, and unlocks the rest of the platform if you ever want it. Google, Discord, or email — one click in.

No file selected — pick a CSV to load tournaments.

Base ROI at $5 buy-in 15%
Decay per 10× stakes 5%
Starting bankroll ($)
Monte Carlo runs 500

Upload a CSV, pick an archetype, hit run.

Heuristic flat-ITM finish model with top-heavy decay — designed to give a watchable variance picture. For SALSA / CF-HU / Bayesian belief clouds (real per-position distributions), see the paid platform.

What it tells you

Three numbers, plus the picture.

Where you usually land

The honest middle. Half your simulated years end above it, half below.

How wild it gets

Nine out of ten runs end somewhere in this band. The two outside are the war stories.

How likely you go broke

The number that tells you whether your bankroll's deep enough for the volume you're planning.

Inputs

Three things to type in.

  • 01

    Your schedule

    Filter by stake, speed, and game type, tick the tournaments you'd actually play. Or paste a list from your tracker.

  • 02

    Your ROI

    Five archetypes to choose from, or roll your own with two sliders.

  • 03

    Your bankroll

    Where you start. We project from there.

Run it

Free with a sign-up. No card.

Google, Discord, or email — one click in.