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♠ Bankroll math for serious poker
EST. 2020 · BY FELIX D.

Your whole tournament history, read properly. Free, in about two minutes.

Create an account, add your SharkScope names, and the app loads every tournament you have played. Profit by site and game type, your cash and final-table rates against the field, a calculator for any tournament, and a season simulator. No card, no trial clock. The model of your game and the selling math are the paid layer, when you want them.

Google, Discord or email. Prefer a walkthrough first? Book 20 minutes with Felix.

▶ Watch Felix on Run It Once: Solving Bankroll Management for Tournament Poker

◆ Used by Full Poker Team and Three Amigos Staking. Full Poker Team runs the models for 120 players inside its own tools. How →

200+ users
Players, backers and stables on the platform
Multiple big teams
Stables running the models for their players
30+ essays
On bankroll math, variance and staking
Inside the app

Three tabs free on your real history. Then the plan.

Real screens of the app, not mock-ups. MOTA is shown with the subscription, because the sell % is the point, and the Sunday plan is the Mucho+MOTA planner. Results and Simulation are shown as a free account sees them, dashed card and all: Results on Felix's own PokerStars history. You unlock the paid layer inside the app, never from a sales call.

app.muchomota.com/app/mota MOTA subscription
The MOTA tab: tournament inputs, the ROI heatmap over skill coloured by Kelly sell %, the optimal strategy card with sell 65.5% and the strategy comparison table
The MOTA tab as a MOTA subscriber sees it. Real render of the app. Open the calculator →
MOTA

How much of this tournament should I sell, and at what markup?

Type in any tournament. MOTA prices it on the real payout structure and your skill, then gives the Kelly-optimal share to sell at your bankroll and your markup, and what that does to your growth per hour. The heatmap shows the answer for every skill level at once.

Free account
Type in any tournament. See how your money is likely to end up, and a colour map of where a game is good or bad for your bankroll.

Results

How have I actually run?

Add your SharkScope names and your full history loads by itself. See your profit over time, by site and by game type. Your cash, final-table and win rates sit next to what the field does in the same structures.

With MOTA
Tests that tell you whether your results are skill or luck: how many sigmas each cash rate sits from break-even, the variance strip, the monthly cash-frequency trend. The model of your game fitted to your own record is Mucho+MOTA.

app.muchomota.com/app/results Free account
The Results tab: summary tiles (1,438 tournaments, +21.8% ROI), finish benchmarks against the field, the greyed-out MOTA z-test card, and the cumulative profit chart
The Results tab as a free account sees it. Real render of the app. See my results →
Simulation

How does my year go, five ways to fund it?

Play a whole season 1,000 times over. Compare five ways to fund your poker: on your own, with a backer, with swaps. See profit, downswings and the chance of going broke.

With MOTA
The same run on your real past schedule or a Lobbyze schedule, with the selling math. On your own fitted model with Mucho+MOTA.

app.muchomota.com/app/strategy Free account
The Simulation tab: skill model and simulation inputs, the schedule used, and the five-strategy comparison table with the greyed-out MOTA card
The Simulation tab as a free account sees it. Real render of the app. Run my season →
app.muchomota.com/app/schedule Mucho+MOTA subscription
The Schedule tab: a Sunday plan of 20 playable tournaments across PokerStars, GGNetwork, WPN, PartyPoker and 888, each with a star priority, start and end time, reg deadline, buy-in, field, hands, ROI, markup and sell %
The Schedule tab as a Mucho+MOTA subscriber sees it. Real render of the app. Start free, unlock inside →
Schedule

Which games do I play on Sunday, and how much of each do I sell?

Every upcoming tournament in your window, scored against your model. Stars mark the best games of the plan, each row carries the Kelly size, the sell % at your markup, the hands, the reg deadline and a start alarm. One click sends the plan to Lobbyze, which registers the games for you.

With Mucho+MOTA
Mucho+MOTA (€100 a month). The plan above uses the Elite preset; subscribers run it on their own fitted model.

  1. 1

    Create the account

    Google, Discord or email. No card, no trial clock, nothing to install.

  2. 2

    Add your screen names

    The app pulls your SharkScope history while you watch. Most players are looking at their own numbers within two minutes.

  3. 3

    Browse the app

    Results, MOTA and Simulation work on your real history. Where the paid layer starts you see a greyed-out card, and you unlock it from there.

Create a free account →

Google, Discord or email. No card.

Mucho+MOTA builds a model of your game from your results every night and compares it with thousands of players in the same games. You get a range for your real edge, not one ROI number.

Mucho+MOTA adds

Your week, your models, and Felix.

Staking groups get the same plus the stable tools: results for the whole team, a ledger with two-person sign-off, a review queue, bulk import, team simulation and schedule, Lobbyze team sync, and a check of who played what they were told to.

  • Fantasyland

    Manage your player models. Compare them, refit on part of your history, change any number by hand.

  • Schedule

    Plan your week across sites, speeds and game types. Send it to Lobbyze and it registers the games for you.

  • Automation

    Re-sync your results on demand, and Lobbyze filters kept up to date for you.

  • Coaching

    Six hours of onboarding and coaching with Felix, and Felix on Discord.

Plans

Everything starts free. Upgrade inside the app.

The paid plans are the greyed-out cards you meet while browsing. MOTA is monthly, cancel any time, or €300 a year. Mucho+MOTA runs for 12 months. Card or Luxon Pay.

♠ Start here

Free

€0

No card. Your history loads in about two minutes.

  • ✓ Results: your full SharkScope history, loaded for you
  • ✓ Finish benchmarks: your cash and final-table rates against the field
  • ✓ MOTA: how any tournament plays out for your bankroll (no selling)
  • ✓ Simulation: a season, five ways to fund it, side by side
  • ✓ Runs in the browser, nothing to install
Create a free account →

MOTA

€30 / month + VAT

Monthly, cancel anytime · or €300 / year upfront

  • ✓ How much to sell in each tournament, and at what markup
  • ✓ Skill-or-luck tests on your results: sigmas per finish tier, variance, monthly cash-frequency trend
  • ✓ Simulation on your real played history or a Lobbyze schedule, selling included
  • ✓ Custom cash-frequency and heads-up targets
  • ✓ Self-serve, no calls needed
  • ✓ €300 for a year upfront saves €60; yearly can be paid by Luxon Pay
  • ✓ Know you want it? Subscribe now without an account
Start free, upgrade inside →

Mucho+MOTA

€100 / month + VAT

12-month term · or €1,200 / year upfront by card or Luxon Pay

  • ✓ Everything in MOTA
  • ✓ MUCHO: a model of your game, fitted to your own results every night
  • ✓ Fantasyland: manage and compare your player models, change any number by hand
  • ✓ Weekly schedule planner, sent straight to Lobbyze
  • ✓ Results re-sync on demand and managed Lobbyze filters
  • ✓ Six hours of onboarding and coaching (€1,200 value, included)
  • ✓ Felix on Discord
  • ✓ Know you want it? Subscribe now without an account
Start free, upgrade inside →

Running a staking group? The Stable tier covers the whole team. We agree scope and price on a call. What it includes →

What do I get without paying?
Your full SharkScope history with profit by site and game type, finish benchmarks against the field, the MOTA calculator on real payout structures, and a season simulator with five ways to fund your poker. That is the free tier for good, not a trial.
What is behind the greyed-out cards?
MOTA (€30 a month) adds the selling math and the statistics: how much of a tournament to sell and at what markup, skill-or-luck tests on your rates, and the simulator on your real schedule. Mucho+MOTA (€100 a month) adds the model of your game fitted to your results every night, Fantasyland, the schedule planner, automation and coaching with Felix.
What happens to my SharkScope data?
It stays on your account and is encrypted. We never share it, sell it, or use it to train anything public. The privacy policy lists what we store and your rights.
Does it work with my tracker?
Add your SharkScope names and every plan, free included, loads your full history for you. For sites SharkScope does not cover, type in your ROI and cash rate by hand.
Can I cancel?
MOTA is monthly, cancel any time from the subscription page. Mucho+MOTA runs for 12 months first, then monthly. The free tier has no card on file at all.
Can I earn something for referring friends?
Yes. Every subscriber has a personal link under Account → Refer a friend. Four MOTA subscribers, or one Mucho+MOTA subscriber, who each stay a full year earn you €100 of subscription time. Software time, not cash.
How do I pay?
By card through Stripe, from inside the app. Yearly plans can also be paid by Luxon Pay: we send an invoice and open access once the money arrives. VAT is added for EU customers without a VAT ID.

Risikohinweis: Poker ist Glücksspiel. Vergangene Ergebnisse sind keine Garantie für zukünftige Gewinne.

No cut, no commissions

I don’t stake you and I don’t take a cut.

I am not paid by backers, and not by the sites you play on. You pay for the software and the analysis, and the analysis is yours. That keeps the advice honest.

FelixD joined bitB Staking as an intern and left as CFO after five years inside one of the most successful staking groups in poker. He then helped build and sell a second one. muchomota is the tool he wished had existed: a clear model of your game and a plan for your money.

Brazilian players: Felix is listed on Lobbyze as a Consultoria de Grade / Gestão de Riscos consultant. You get a schedule built for your bankroll, delivered as a Lobbyze filter.

Two minutes from now

Your own numbers, not a demo.

Create the account, add your screen names, and browse Results, MOTA and Simulation on your real history. Decide about the paid layer once you have seen it on your own game.

Not ready? Get the essays by email →

data@muchomota.com · Discord DM works too.